Bitcoin
BTC
−28.3%
past year
- 1M
- +17%
- 3M
- −30%
- YTD
- −58%
- All
- +53%
Annualized volatility 49% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
Markets
What the markets did.
The models read all of these. Here they are one per card, so you can see each on its own before comparing any two of them like for like — same start date, same starting dollar.
Through Jul 30, 2026 · benchmark series are illustrative in this build and are replaced by real data as it is ingested.
Crypto
Trades every day, including weekends.
Ethereum
ETH
−46.8%
past year
- 1M
- +8%
- 3M
- −7%
- YTD
- −17%
- All
- −0%
Annualized volatility 60% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
US indices
The two benchmarks most portfolios are measured against.
S&P 500
S&P 500
+16.3%
past year
- 1M
- −2%
- 3M
- −7%
- YTD
- +3%
- All
- +33%
Annualized volatility 14% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
QQQ
+20.6%
past year
- 1M
- −3%
- 3M
- −8%
- YTD
- −11%
- All
- +38%
Annualized volatility 18% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
Large caps
Widely held single names, for context.
Apple
AAPL
+57.1%
past year
- 1M
- −2%
- 3M
- +11%
- YTD
- +51%
- All
- +88%
Annualized volatility 24% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
Microsoft
MSFT
−4.4%
past year
- 1M
- +3%
- 3M
- −5%
- YTD
- +15%
- All
- +31%
Annualized volatility 21% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
Nvidia
NVDA
+18.1%
past year
- 1M
- +30%
- 3M
- +38%
- YTD
- +29%
- All
- +117%
Annualized volatility 44% — how much it moves, not how much it made.
Compare any two
Two at a time, deliberately — four lines stacked in one chart is how a comparison stops being readable. Both start from the same $10,000 on the same day.
S&P 500Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
| Date | S&P 500 | Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-18 | $10,000 | $10,000 |
| 2025-08-17 | $10,236 | $10,285 |
| 2025-09-16 | $10,521 | $10,778 |
| 2025-10-16 | $10,960 | $11,827 |
| 2025-11-15 | $10,871 | $13,182 |
| 2025-12-15 | $11,158 | $13,226 |
| 2026-01-14 | $11,259 | $13,373 |
| 2026-02-13 | $11,525 | $13,579 |
| 2026-03-15 | $12,080 | $13,632 |
| 2026-04-14 | $12,321 | $14,554 |
| 2026-05-14 | $12,821 | $13,335 |
| 2026-06-13 | $11,947 | $12,739 |
| 2026-07-13 | $11,966 | $12,486 |
| 2026-07-18 | $11,628 | $12,390 |
S&P 500 · past year
+16.3%
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) · past year
+23.9%
Both lines start from the same $10,000 on the same day, using only the dates both markets traded — so the comparison is like-for-like. Crypto trades every day and stocks do not, which is why the shared dates matter.
Every market, every period
| Market | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1Y | All |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | −2% | −7% | +3% | +16% | +33% |
| Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) | −3% | −8% | −11% | +21% | +38% |
| Bitcoin | +17% | −30% | −58% | −28% | +53% |
| Ethereum | +8% | −7% | −17% | −47% | −0% |
| Apple | −2% | +11% | +51% | +57% | +88% |
| Microsoft | +3% | −5% | +15% | −4% | +31% |
| Nvidia | +30% | +38% | +29% | +18% | +117% |
And the models, for the same reason
Annualized rate over each model's own backtested history — a different window from the market cards above, so treat this as orientation, not a head-to-head. Each journal has the like-for-like comparison against these same markets.
All model performance is hypothetical and illustrative. Draivik is not a registered investment adviser and nothing here is advice.